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WATCHING RACEHORSES

A guide to betting on behaviour

 

 

Book outline

Introduction

Gives a brief and broad outline of the direction of the book.  Geoffrey confesses to being a punter, describes his progression through the Seven Ages of Punting Man, his training in animal behaviour, his first study of horse behaviour at the races, and his coming of age as a horse watcher.  

 

Chapter 1.  A day at the races 

Describes a typical day at the races for a horse watcher, race by race. 

  

Chapter 2.  A little looksee  

Describes the initial scientific study of pre-race behaviour done by Geoffrey with his student, Marie Haskell.  This chapter describes the main variables recorded, including horse fatness, fitness, and coat condition.

 

Chapter 3.  Eureka!

Describes the results of the looksee study.  

 

Chapter 4.  Fifteen minutes of fame

Describes the media feeding frenzy that followed publication of the results of the looksee study in New Scientist magazine.

 

Chapter 5.  Picking losers

Discusses the main reasons put forward for horses losing.

 

Chapter 6.  Back to the birdcage

Describes what Geoffrey now looks at in the birdcage stalls, in some detail.  This chapter, together with chapters 7-10, is the guts of the book. It includes pawing, weaving, and restless behaviour.

 

Chapter 7.  Perving in the parade ring Describes responses of the horse to tack and equipment, including the bridle and bit, tongue tie, pacifiers, boots and bandages.

 

Chapter 8.  Did someone say sex?

Discusses sexual behaviour of horses.

 

Chapter 9.  Mounting yard misbehaviour 

Describes strapper behaviour, horse posture and gait.

 

Chapter 10.  They’re on the track!

Discusses sweating and control by the clerk, among others.

 

Chapter 11.  60 variables and 10,059 horses  

Describes the results of an analysis of 60 of the 65 variables described in Chapters 6 to 10 and how they can be used to pick losing horses.  This is the first time that actual statistics (percentages) on the likely success or failure of horses showing particular behaviours have been published.  

 

Chapter 12.  Betting on behaviour 

Proposes a few ideas for betting on the results of horse watching, including betting for the win, making a Dutch book and betting for the place.  

 

Chapter 13.  Which horse, which race? 

Discusses favourable types of race for betting.  

 

Chapter 14. The Melbourne Cup 

Describes some of the practical difficulties of applying horse-watching techniques to the Melbourne Cup.

 

Further reading 

Provides a comprehensive reading list of all relevant references.